Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001345 0.001431 0.001520 0.001618 0.001724 0.001835 0.001960
2024-10-27 0.001222 0.001340 0.001466 0.001611 0.001773 0.001949 0.002156
2024-11-03 0.001100 0.001234 0.001381 0.001556 0.001756 0.001981 0.002254
2024-11-10 0.001044 0.001195 0.001364 0.001569 0.001813 0.002093 0.002442
2024-11-17 0.000981 0.001142 0.001327 0.001555 0.001831 0.002157 0.002573
2024-11-24 0.000944 0.001115 0.001316 0.001568 0.001881 0.002258 0.002751
2024-12-01 0.000890 0.001066 0.001274 0.001541 0.001878 0.002291 0.002844
2024-12-08 0.000849 0.001028 0.001245 0.001527 0.001888 0.002340 0.002955
2024-12-15 0.000813 0.000996 0.001220 0.001516 0.001900 0.002390 0.003070
2024-12-22 0.000786 0.000973 0.001205 0.001515 0.001925 0.002456 0.003206
2024-12-29 0.000755 0.000944 0.001181 0.001502 0.001932 0.002496 0.003309
2025-01-05 0.000730 0.000922 0.001164 0.001496 0.001948 0.002551 0.003431
2025-01-12 0.000693 0.000883 0.001127 0.001466 0.001934 0.002567 0.003510
2025-01-19 0.000668 0.000860 0.001110 0.001461 0.001954 0.002632 0.003661
2025-01-26 0.000628 0.000816 0.001062 0.001413 0.001911 0.002606 0.003678
2025-02-02 0.000614 0.000806 0.001059 0.001426 0.001954 0.002704 0.003882
2025-02-09 0.000592 0.000783 0.001039 0.001413 0.001959 0.002746 0.004004
2025-02-16 0.000579 0.000773 0.001036 0.001425 0.002001 0.002844 0.004216
2025-02-23 0.000556 0.000747 0.001009 0.001401 0.001988 0.002858 0.004295
2025-03-02 0.000537 0.000728 0.000991 0.001388 0.001990 0.002895 0.004414
2025-03-09 0.000521 0.000711 0.000975 0.001378 0.001997 0.002939 0.004544
2025-03-16 0.000508 0.000698 0.000965 0.001378 0.002017 0.003004 0.004713
2025-03-23 0.000492 0.000681 0.000949 0.001366 0.002019 0.003039 0.004832